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News · Markets · Global

Asia Leads Losses as AI Frenzy Ebbs

Doubts about the payoff from AI spending hit Asian chip stocks hardest, and possible December rate increases keep the bar high for a return of inflows.

Kenan Machado · 5 November 2026 · 13 min read

Foreign investors pulled $33.8 billion out of emerging-market stocks and bonds in October, the most since March, with the selling concentrated in Asian chip stocks. The outflow followed withdrawals of $19.3 billion in September. To put the reversal in context, in October of last year, the same category saw some $27.4 billion of inflows.

Stocks accounted for almost all of it, at $31.7 billion, and emerging Asia accounted for $28.3 billion of that, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF), a financial-industry trade group, which tracks these monthly flows.

The selling came amid a drop in U.S. Treasury yields and rising yields in Japan, a provider of cheap capital to the world. According to the IIF, the numbers point to a cooling of risk appetite for stocks, along with country-specific shocks, rather than a squeeze on dollar funding.

Taiwan and South Korea suffered the most as speculators betting on the buildout of artificial intelligence (AI) took profits. Spending on AI infrastructure and data centers could reach anywhere from $3 trillion to $7 trillion globally by 2030, according to estimates by Oxford Economics and PwC.

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Recession Watch

FRED data →

The gap between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields, set against the federal funds rate. Red marks months when the curve was inverted; grey bars mark U.S. recessions.

 Latest daily spread 
 Federal funds rate 
 Deepest inversion 
 Months inverted 
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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED), series T10Y2Y, FEDFUNDS and USREC, drawing on the U.S. Treasury, the Federal Reserve Board and the NBER. The spread is a monthly average of daily values.

Data through Nov 4, 2026.

This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Men's Underwear Index: a tongue-in-cheek recession gauge →

Deep Dive · Rates & FX · Japan, US

On Borrowed Time: The US–Japan Yen Intervention

The joint intervention pulled USD/JPY back from a 40-year low in four trading days. It left Japan's fiscal overhang, its energy-driven trade deficit and its rate gap with Washington exactly where they were.
164 → 155
USD/JPY, late-July peak to the Aug. 3 intraday low
$52.8bn
Bank of Japan's estimated yen purchases on Thursday, July 30, alone
227.8%
Japan's gross public debt, share of GDP, 2026
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